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Its Not Harry

Comment and opinion for retail investors in the UK

Mark Potter

Midweek Musings – not exactly in the vanguard

8th December 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

Having no doubt realised that there is a head of steam behind the sustainability investing ‘fad’ (I jest!), Vanguard have at last reacted with a new product launch.

The problem with their otherwsie well thought out low-cost Lifestrategy funds is that they are built using passive funds that track the main global market indices, so are not in any way subject to ESG filtering. That has resulted is those funds being dumped from many an IFA preferred list and no doubt also avoided by ‘greener’ DIY investors.

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Filed Under: Funds, Members Only, Monthly commentary

Watching Brief – December 2021

3rd December 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

Pottering About

I often cross check what I have written in the past about economics and markets, partly to see how my looking into the future has inevitably been exposed as frequently ‘off beam’ (this tends to keep my current writing away from the wildest of speculations!) but more to assess what surprises or new trends have emerged and the more common reality: over many periods how little changes in 12 months.

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Filed Under: Economics, Markets, Members Only, Monthly commentary, Politics, Portfolios, Sustainability/ESG

Decemeber Monthly Commentary

1st December 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

My comments for this month will be published later in the week as I want to listen to a particular presentation on December 2nd and also get a more definite take on the opposing views being circulated about the latest Covid-19 variant which are currently causing some market turbulence.

Filed Under: Announcements

Midweek Musings – quickies

24th November 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

After a longer technical post last week, this week I am going to confine myself to cherry picking a few news items that are relevant for investors who are considering portfolio asset mix balance and possible transactions, like profit taking.

Markets certainly seem edgy at the moment and the odds of a Santa Rally are receding. I suspect that institutional traders are looking to book some gains after a good year, perhaps nervous about the worsening Covid situation in much of Europe.

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Filed Under: Markets, Members Only, Monthly commentary, Portfolios

Midweek musings – what about ETFs?

16th November 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

When you need focus – should it be an ETF?

When undertaking some research into Agritech investing a few weeks back, I concluded that for the moment the only way a retail investor could make a highly focused investment in that theme was by purchasing an ETF (Exchange Traded Fund).

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Filed Under: Education, Funds, Members Only, Monthly commentary, Sustainability/ESG

Midweek musings – Rock flattens Hut

3rd November 2021 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

One of the reasons I don’t own shares directly (other then for exceptional reasons) is that most of the available shares in any given company are owned by gigantic institutions and if they decide to sell large blocks, the market will usually get wind of that and the share price will plummet. The more concentrated the ownership of shares in a business, the greater that risk becomes.

Yesterday there was a perfect example of that risk turning into reality. A business which has a chequered history is called THG or the Hut group. Its shares were quoted at around 800 pence at the start of the year after floating as a new listing at 500 pence. That was a classic case in itself – the market rating a retailer with not much special going for it as it it was a technology business. It has happened before (ASOS, in its early days).

When will they ever learn?

The mega investor BlackRock built up a 10% holding in the company or 124 million shares (data anyone could check out using stock market ownership notices). They have now decided they don’t want to keep all those shares and are selling half of them. To shift that many shares in one go is not easy, even for BlackRock, so they have offered them at a discount to a price that has alraedy plummeted – in fact at 195 pence.

So if you bought the shares at 800 pence on the basis of a Sunday paper tip written by some lazy pundit (people do that), you would be 75% down by now!

If you owned these shares in a fund, the most you could possibly own (and your fund manager would be due to be sacked if you did) would be 10% of the fund. so your maximum loss would be 7.5%.

In summary, if you want to speculate in shares, remember that you might well be a sprat swimming in the whales’ feeding grounds.

Filed Under: Education, Rants, Trading

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