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Its Not Harry

Comment and opinion for retail investors in the UK

Members Only

Deep Dive – May 2024

30th April 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

Out of this world

This month I am going to address a subject that no-one really likes talking about but which I think I have a responsibility to address because I and my subscribers are all getting that little bit older.

As the Pink Floyd lyric goes ‘another day older, another day closer to death’, which is just a truism, but as we get into our 60s and 70s and beyond (and most of my subscribers are in that age group), the number of days is not so many as it was. 

All is going swimmingly, until it isn’t….

I know from you, my readers, that one of the principal concerns people have when they start running their own portfolios is that, although it is not so difficult when you have some training and have accumulated a bit of experience, it is unlikely (although not so in every case, I know) that a surviving partner would be comfortable taking over at short notice, especially as this would be an added responsibility during a period of grief and when other practical tasks of some complexity may need attention.

So, what would you want to happen to your portfolio management if you are still in charge when you die, or if you lose your mental capacity, which could be a slow and let’s face it, hard to accept or even recognise process?

Can we (I count myself in on this problem, naturally) do something now to prepare and make the situation easier for our loved ones? 

Most of my subscribers are couples and one partner (male or female) is ‘running the money’.  A small number of you are single, but there is still a problem that has to be resolved by someone else when you depart the scene.  Older age may imply that the problem will arise sooner rather than later, but experience has shown me that even the relatively young can be hit by serious or even fatal health issues.

I believe we ought to at least do some logical thinking about this real issue and this article is an attempt to get you started.  As always, I am happy to respond to feedback and suggestions and pass on good ideas and advice anonymously.

[Read more…] about Deep Dive – May 2024

Filed Under: Members Only, Monthly commentary, Portfolios

YAP – bad news, or not?

27th April 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

You will likely have noticed that the news on inflation is less positive than wished for by central banks and markets have modified their assumptions on when interest rates will start coming down. This has been reflected with direct impact for those renewing fixed rate mortgage contracts as at least in the UK, rates have actually gone up slightly.

So, is that just simply bad news?

It is certainly not good news for bonds and the FT headline today that the climate for fixed income investing is ‘unsettling’ is a good way of describing the situation.

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Filed Under: Economics, Markets, Members Only, Opinion

YAP – there’s gold in them thar central banks!

15th April 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

You may have noticed a really significant increase in the price of gold bullion in recent months.

This is because something that we have known about for some time – continuous topping up of gold reserves by the Chinese central bank – is now seen as part of a more global pattern. With such large buyers active in the market, the price is bound to be well supported.

The reason for this anticipated expansion of central bank buying? Probably 2 main reasons, I think.

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Filed Under: Asset Allocation, Markets, Members Only, Portfolios

YAP – how about Wellingtons?

13th March 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

I hear it’s been a very wet Winter in the UK, so no doubt you have needed your rubber boots when out walking. Here the water tends to come down ready frozen from Decemeber to February!

I am actually posting this note to highlight a fund, something I rarely do because of the risk that readers will take my comments as a recommendation and I don’t ever offer personalised fund selection advice because I have no authority to do that.

However, one of my subscribers asked my what I knew about Wellington Asset Management not long ago, because he had spotted their Global Stewards Fund in the Interactive Investor Ace 40 pick list. This fund is I think likely to interest many of my subscribers who like to invest sustainably without sacrificing above average returns. So this post is a ‘heads up’ on that subject.

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Filed Under: Funds, Members Only, Monthly commentary

YAP – data without context

6th March 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

This is the new form of ‘relevant and hopefully interesting’ mid-month posts that I announced in my March monthly missive.

YAP, appropriately an attention seeking sound from a persistent dog, stands for YOUR ATTENTION PLEASE.

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Filed Under: Basics, Education, Funds, Members Only, Research tools

The Magnificent 7 ride again – but how many sequels can we expect?

21st February 2024 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

The table which will download if you click the link below demonstrates well how shares in the mega sized tech firms (branded the Magnificent 7 after possible acronyms got to be absurd and named in the downloaded document) have generated most of the main US market returns in 2023, and for those of us with funds that have a specific thematic bias, some excellent results too.

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Filed Under: Markets, Members Only, Monthly commentary, Portfolios

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