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Its Not Harry

Comment and opinion for retail investors in the UK

Monday mashup – adrenaline junkies.

8th June 2020 by Mark Potter Leave a Comment

As a child I was severely asthmatic. This generally meant missing a lot of school but in my case did not stop me exercising. One day, on a walk with my parents, wheezing heavily due to pollen, I tripped and fell off a style. My asthma vanished instantly and I was breathing better than I had all Summer.

The reason was the adrenaline boost from the fall. It is the body’s sure-fire instant booster when it detects a threat (my clumsiness no doubt triggering messaging similar to being struck by a hostile entity!).

Performance boosting drugs may help for a short time, but….

The money being poured into global economies by various organisations authorised to invent credit, most recently the European Union, is adrenaline for stock markets. In these times the stimulus feeds through to share prices as instantly as adrenaline gets to widen your blood vessels.

The relief and feeling of well being can be addictive, but in the end the treatment has to stop or the patient dies from other causes. So it will be with stock markets.

I expect either a stalling or maybe something more dramatic, likely the ‘taper tantrum’ that occurred after the US fed started talking about shutting down the money junkies’ supplies in 2013.

Another possibility this time is that the patient is accustomed to the drug in question and seeks higher doses. You can speculate about where that will take us!

So, enjoy the kicks for now but prepare for some cold turkey.

Filed Under: Economics, Monthly commentary

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